Historically, El-Nino has decreased rice production in Indonesia due to its effect on precipitation patterns. The current El-Nino event is estimated to get stronger, with a greater than 95% chance through January-March 2024.
The government, coordinated by the Ministry of Agriculture, has commenced strategies to anticipate the negative impact, including mapping the El-Nino affected area, disseminating information on adaptive measures, and increasing the availability of climate-resistant seeds, fertilizer, water infrastructure, and machinery.
Learning from the implementation gaps, a more substantial focus to secure agricultural productivity during El-Nino event would be on improving the capacity of farmers and agricultural stakeholders.
